NAFTA and Agriculture:
Is the Experiment Working?
Symposium Proceedings

Friday, November 1, 1996

Opening Session

• Opening Address - A U.S. View of NAFTA and Agriculture - The Honorable Matt Brockman, Assistant Commisioner of Agriculture for Marketing, State of Texas
  
• Keynote Address - NAFTA and Agriculture: An Early Assessment - Dr. Alain de Janvry, University of California - Berkeley

Invited Paper Session 1: General Agriculture Sector Impacts of NAFTA

• The Effects of NAFTA in a Changing Environment - Sherman Robinson (U. California-Berkeley), and Karen Theirfelder (U.S. Naval Academy)
  
  • View Figures and Tables
  
  
• NAFTA and the Agricultural Sector of Mexico - Antonio Yunez-Naude (Colegio de Mexico)

Luncheon

• A View of NAFTA from Washington - The Honorable E. Kika de la Garza (D-Texas, Ranking Minority Member, House Agriculture Committee)

Invited Paper Session 2: NAFTA and Specific Agricultural Markets

• Liberalized Trade and the Mexican Livestock, Meat, and Feed Industries - Gary W. Williams (Texas A&M University) and Jose de Jesus Garcia V. (Texas A&M University-Kingsville)
• NAFTA and Structural Adjustment in Mexican Agriculture - Andres Rosenzweig Pichardo (SAGAR)
• Potential Implications of Freer Trade for the U.S. and Canadian Dairy Sectors: A Spatial Analysis - Andrew Novakovic and Maurice Doyon (Cornell University)

Invited Paper Session 3: NAFTA and Collateral Issues for Agriculture

• The Avocado Dispute and Other Technical Barriers to Agricultural Trade Under NAFTA - David Orden and Eduardo Romano (VPI)
  
• NAFTA, Agriculture, and the Mexican Environment - Gerald C. Nelson (University of Illinois)
  
• NAFTA and Domestic Agricultural Policy-U.S. View - James M. Hansen (University of Arkansas) and William H. Meyers (Iowa State University)
  
• NAFTA and Domestic Agricultural Policy-Mexican View - Jose Luis Calva T. (National Autonomous University of Mexico-UNAM)
  
  • Tables 1-5, Tables 6-9

Banquet

• Banquet Address - A View of NAFTA and Agriculture From Mexico - Ing. Andres Casco Flores (Undersecretary for Planning, Mexican Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Rural Development, SAGAR)

Saturday, November 2, 1996

Opening Session

• Opening Address: A Canadian View of NAFTA and Agriculture - Mike Gifford, Director General, International Trade Policy Directorate, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)
  
• Invited Address: CFTA/NAFTA: Impact on U.S. and Canadian Agriculture - Jerry Sharples and Luther Tweeten (Ohio State University)

Concurrent Selected Paper Sessions

Dairy I

• NAFTA and Mexican Import Demand for Dairy Products - Tanyeri-Abur and Rossen (TAMU)
  
• Household Dairy Demand in Mexico: A Regional and Expenditure Analysis with Implications for U.S.-Mexico Trade - Barham, Cox, and Paz (U. Wisc.-M)
  
  • Tables 1-7, Tables 8-11, Table 12
    
• NAFTA and National Milk Systems - Garcia H., Martinez B. (UAM-X) and del Valle and Alvarez M. (UNAM)
  
• Trends in Population and the Production and Importation of Milk Powder in Mexico, 1950-2010 - Gomez O. and Gonzalez L. (FES-UNAM)
  
  • View Graphs

  Tomatoes

• Price Analysis of Mexican Tomato Imports: Are Antidumping Duties Warranted in 1996? - Ames, Dorfman, and Soares - (U. Georgia)
  
• The Organizational Structure of the North American Fresh Tomato Market and Its Implications for Seasonal Trade Disputes - Thompson and Wilson (U. Arizona)
  
  • Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3
  
  
• Florida Tomato Growers Plight with Mexico and NAFTA - Weatherspoon (Fla. A&M U.)
  
• The Tomato War - Cardenas (CAADES)

  Western Hemispheric Integration

• The Economic Consequences of Western Hemisphere Market Integration: Emphasis on Food and Agricultural Sectors - Medich and Sporleder (Ohio State U.)
  
  • View Figures
  
  
• Prospects for Chilean Agriculture Under NAFTA - Zivin, Hueth, and Zilberman (U. Calif.-Berkeley)
  
• Agroindustrial Export Tendencies in the Regional Trading Blocs: NAFTA, EU, and MERCOSUR From the 70's to the 90's - Andrade de Carvalho (U. Fed. de Vicosa-Brazil)
  
  • Table 1, Table 2-8 and Figures 1-7

  Dairy II

• Farm-Level Comparison of Milk Production in Mexico and the United States - Miller, Ochoa, Outlaw, and Knutson (TAMU)
  
  • View Figures
  
  
• The Implications of NAFTA for Milk Marketing Orders - Bishop and Novakovic (Cornell U.)
  
  • Maps
• Dairy Sector Trade Between the United States and Mexico: An Overview - Ernstes and Outlaw (TAMU)
  
  • Figure 1
• The Impact of NAFTA on Mexican Milk Production - Munoz R., Altamirano C., del Rosario J. (UACh)
  
  • Figures and Tables

  Vegetables I

• Optimal Tariffs for Trade in Differentiated Products: the North American Onion Trade - Mao, Park, Epperson, and Dorfman (U. Georgia)
  
• U.S.-Mexico Bilateral Trade and the Achievements of NAFTA: The Tomato War - Massieu T. (UAM.-A)
  
• Economic Analysis of the Impact of Devaluation of the Peso and Adverse Weather in Florida on the North American Winter Fresh Vegetable Market - VanSickle, Spreen, and Jordan (U. Florida)
  
• NAFTA and U.S.-Mexico Fresh Vegetable Trade - Malaga, Williams, and Fuller (TAMU)
  
  • Tables 1-3, Figure 1

  Rural Development/Employment

• Rural Poverty and Agriculture in Mexico: Monitoring the Conditions of Mexico's Poorer Farmers, 1991-94 - Lopez (U. Maryland), Nash (World Bank), and Stanton (World Bank and Ariz. State U.)
  
  • Tables
• NAFTA and Employment: Has It Mattered? - Schluter and Gale (ERS/USDA)
  
• The Risks of Agricultural Crisis in Zacatecas - Garcia Z. (U.A. Zac.)
  
• The Effects of NAFTA on the Agricultural Sector: A Mexico-U.S. Comparative Analysis - Goicochea (UAM - Ixtapalapa)

  Livestock I

• U.S. and Mexico Cattle and Beef Trade - Peel (Olka St. U.)
  
• Exporting U.S. Red Meat and Poultry Products to Mexico - Dietrich (TAMU) and Smalley (USDA)
  
• The Beef Production System in Mexico: The Current Situation - Suarez D. and Lopez T. (UACh)
  
• Producer Meat Prices and Price Expectations - Martinez D. (Col. Postgraduados - CIESTAAM)

  Vegetables II

• A Profile of Foreign Direct Investment be the U.S. Fruit and Vegetable Industry - Burnham and Epperson (U. Georgia)
  
• NAFTA and Vegetables Markets - Gomez C. and Schwentesius R. (CIESTAAM)
  
• The Potential for Small Holder Fruit and Vegetable Production in Mexico: Barriers, Opportunities, and an Alternative Model - Marsh and Runsten (UCLA)

  Food Issues

• So Far From God and So Close to NAFTA: Notes on Agriculture and NAFTA - Hernandez N. (CECCAM)
  
• The Drought, the Economic Crisis, and Food Self-sufficiency - Barkin (UAM-X)
  
• Food Security in an International and Vulnerability: The Corn-Tortilla System - Appendini (Col. Mexico)
  
  • Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3
  
  
• The California Wine Industry and NAFTA - Hayes (Sonoma State U.)

  Livestock II

• The Impact of NAFTA on the Mexican Agroindustrial Pork System - Sagarnaga V. (CIESTAAM-UACh) and FloresV. (UACh)
  
• The Sonoran Livestock Industry: Productive Specialization and the International Market - Camou H. and Perez L. (CIAD-Hermosillo)
  
• Poultry and NAFTA: Initiation of a Process of Production Restructuring - Hernandez, Alberto Ulba, Ochoa M. (CIAD-Hermosillo)
  
• Impact of Environmental Regulation in the Poultry Sector: the Role of NAFTA - Bohman (U. British Columbia) and Lindsey (Oregon State U.)

  Fruit

• The Impact of NAFTA on U.S. Imports of Mexican Orange Juice - Spreen, Brown, and Lee (Fla. D. Citrus)
  
• Impacts of NAFTA on the Valencia Orange Industry in Arizona and Sonora, Mexico - Fox (U. Ariz.)
  
• The Impact of NAFTA on the Production of Mexican Melons: Balsas, Guerrero Valley - Leon L. (UAM-X) and Bustamante A. (U.A. Guerrero)

  Other Agricultural Products

• Agricultural Policy and the Production of Basic Grains in Mexico, 1987-1995 - Lopez G. and Salas G. (UACh)
  
• The Mexican Sugar Market and NAFTA - Garcia C. (CIESTAAM-UACh)
  
• NAFTA and Trade in Fish Products - Villamar C. (RMALC)
  
• Trade and High Value Food Products Under NAFTA: Implications for the PNW - Wahl and O'Rourke (Wash. State U.)
  
  • Figures
  
  

  Regional Impacts

• NAFTA and the Inconsistencies of Economic Policy in Sonoran Agriculture: The Coast of Hermosillo and Caborca - Wong G. and Salazar S. (CIAD)
  
• The Regional Impact of NAFTA in the Context of Internationalization: The Case of Agriculture in El Soconusco, Chiapas - Ramos, Santacruz, Llanos, and Pena (UACh)
  
• The Competitiveness of the Mexican Farmer in the Production of Corn: A Longitudinal Study of 11 Municipalities in Eastern Puebla - Ramirez V. and Juarez S. (CP-ISEI)
  
• NAFTA and Markets for Northern Plains Agriculture Producers - Koo and Duncan (NDSU)
  
  • Figure 1 and 2

  Finance and Inputs

• Hedging Emerging Market Debt: An Example of Mexican Brady Bonds - Lordkipanidze and Ames (U. Georgia)
  
• The Opening of Trade and Reform of the Mexican Rural Financial System: Consequences and Trends - Santoyo C. and Altamiro (CIESTAAM-UACh)
  
  • Graph 1
  
  
• Structural Change in Mexican Agriculture and NAFTA - Villanueva (Mex. House of Represen.)
  
• NAFTA and Financial Factors Limiting the Competitiveness of Sonoran Agriculture - Salazar (CIAD), Camiro P. (UACh), and Cruz (UACh)

  General Agriculture

• Privatization of Mexico's Railroad System: Implications for U.S./Mexico Grain/Oilseed Trade - Fellin and Fuller (TAMU)
  
• Trade Liberalization Implications for Competition and Sustainability in Central American Agriculture - Marco Sanchez and German Masis (Costa Rica)
  
• Agricultural Impacts of the North American Free Trade Agreement - Kennedy and Hughes (Louisiana State U.)
  
• NAFTA, GATT and Agricultural Reform in Mexico - Fritscher M. (UAM-I)

Poster Papers

• What NAFTA, Land Tenure, Migration, and Maquiladoras Mean for Women - Mercado (Col. Postgraduados)
  
• Econometric Model of the Asparagus Export Market for Mexico - Perez (UACh)
• The Impact of Policy and Environmental in Sustainable Agricultural Development - Valenzuela

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